{"id":17078,"date":"2022-02-14T16:19:03","date_gmt":"2022-02-14T14:19:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/?p=17078"},"modified":"2022-02-14T16:20:53","modified_gmt":"2022-02-14T14:20:53","slug":"finansu-ministrija-2022-gadam-prognoze-ekonomikas-izaugsmi-40-apmera","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/?p=17078","title":{"rendered":"Finan\u0161u ministrija 2022. gadam prognoz\u0113 ekonomikas izaugsmi 4,0% apm\u0113r\u0101"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Uzs\u0101kot Latvijas Stabilit\u0101tes programmas 2022.-2025.&nbsp;gadam sagatavo\u0161anu, Finan\u0161u ministrija (FM) ir izstr\u0101d\u0101jusi makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes laika posmam l\u012bdz 2025.&nbsp;gadam. Atbilsto\u0161i aktualiz\u0113taj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m Latvijas iek\u0161zemes kopprodukts (IKP) 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 palielin\u0101sies par 4,0%, bet 2023.&nbsp;gad\u0101 ekonomikas izaugsme prognoz\u0113ta 3,9% apm\u0113r\u0101.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sal\u012bdzinot ar iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101m, 2021.&nbsp;gada j\u016bnij\u0101 izstr\u0101d\u0101taj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, IKP pieauguma prognoze 2022.&nbsp;gadam ir samazin\u0101ta par vienu procentpunktu, bet 2023.&nbsp;gadam IKP pieaugums prognoz\u0113ts par 0,4 procentpunktiem augst\u0101ks nek\u0101 pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada j\u016bnij\u0101. Divos n\u0101kamajos gados \u2013 2024. un 2025.&nbsp;gad\u0101 \u2013 ekonomikas izaugsme tiek prognoz\u0113ta tuvu ekonomikas potenci\u0101l\u0101s izaugsmes tempam 3,4% apm\u0113r\u0101.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2021.&nbsp;gad\u0101 Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsme, p\u0113c provizorisk\u0101 nov\u0113rt\u0113juma, ir sasniegusi 4,7%, un ekonomikas atg\u016b\u0161an\u0101s no Covid-19 kr\u012bzes bijusi b\u016btiski strauj\u0101ka un s\u0101kusies \u0101tr\u0101k, nek\u0101 tika prognoz\u0113ts pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada j\u016bnij\u0101. Tas ar\u012b noteicis zem\u0101kus 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 sagaid\u0101mos IKP pieauguma tempus, ko nedaudz pazemin\u0101ju\u0161i ar\u012b \u0161\u0101 gada pirmaj\u0101 ceturksn\u012b joproj\u0101m past\u0101vo\u0161ie ierobe\u017eojumi atsevi\u0161\u0137u pakalpojumu nozaru darb\u012bbai. Tom\u0113r l\u012bdz ar \u0101rk\u0101rt\u0113j\u0101s situ\u0101cijas beig\u0101m un pilnu ekonomisk\u0101s darb\u012bbas atjauno\u0161anos 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 sagaid\u0101ms sp\u0113c\u012bgs priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieaugums, sasniedzot 5,3%, ko gan nedaudz b\u016bs ierobe\u017eojusi iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113jas mazin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s strauj\u0101 cenu pieauguma rezult\u0101t\u0101. Ekonomikas izaugsmi \u0161ogad nodro\u0161in\u0101s ar\u012b sp\u0113c\u012bgais invest\u012bciju pieaugums 7% apm\u0113r\u0101, ko veicin\u0101s Eiropas Savien\u012bbas finans\u0113to projektu realiz\u0101cija, kam\u0113r eksporta pieaugums b\u016bs nedaudz l\u0113n\u0101ks nek\u0101 p\u0113rn, veidojot 4%. To ietekm\u0113s l\u0113n\u0101ka ekonomikas izaugsme pasaul\u0113 un Latvijas galvenaj\u0101s \u0101r\u0113j\u0101s tirdzniec\u012bbas partnervalst\u012bs, kur ekonomikas atg\u016b\u0161an\u0101s p\u0113rn t\u0101pat k\u0101 Latvij\u0101 notikusi strauj\u0101k nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161 sagaid\u012bts, un 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 izaugsmi pal\u0113nina ar\u012b Covid-19 jaun\u0101 omikrona varianta izplat\u012bba, pieg\u0101\u017eu \u0137\u0113\u017eu trauc\u0113jumi un augo\u0161\u0101s cenas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gada vid\u0113jo infl\u0101ciju 2022.&nbsp;gadam FM prognoz\u0113 6,2% l\u012bmen\u012b, tai palielinoties no 3,3% pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 gad\u0101. Augsto infl\u0101cijas l\u012bmeni \u0161ogad, t\u0101pat k\u0101 2021.&nbsp;gada otraj\u0101 pus\u0113, noteiks strauji pieaugu\u0161\u0101s energoresursu cenas, kas arvien vair\u0101k s\u0101ks atspogu\u013coties citu pre\u010du un pakalpojumu cen\u0101s. Gada pirmaj\u0101 pus\u0113 infl\u0101cija saglab\u0101sies augst\u0101 7-8% l\u012bmen\u012b, kam\u0113r gada otraj\u0101 pus\u0113, energoresursu cen\u0101m stabiliz\u0113joties, kop\u0113jais pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu pieaugums k\u013c\u016bs l\u0113n\u0101ks un 2023.&nbsp;gad\u0101 gaid\u0101ma infl\u0101cijas l\u012bme\u0146a pazemin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s l\u012bdz 3,1%. N\u0101kamajos divos gados infl\u0101cija turpin\u0101s pazemin\u0101ties, l\u012bdz 2025.&nbsp;gadam stabiliz\u0113joties 2% l\u012bmen\u012b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u0113ne\u0161a vid\u0113j\u0101 darba samaksa p\u0113c strauj\u0101 ap 10% pieauguma 2021.gad\u0101, \u0161ogad turpin\u0101s sal\u012bdzino\u0161i strauji palielin\u0101ties, ko noteiks ierobe\u017eotais darbasp\u0113ka pied\u0101v\u0101jums un augo\u0161\u0101s cenas. Vienlaikus l\u012bdz ar l\u0113n\u0101ku valsts izdevumu pieaugumu algu k\u0101pums sabiedriskaj\u0101 sektor\u0101 k\u013c\u016bs l\u0113n\u0101ks, un kop\u0113jais vid\u0113j\u0101s darba samaksas pieaugums valst\u012b prognoz\u0113ts 7,5% l\u012bmen\u012b. N\u0101kamajos gados algu pieauguma temps turpin\u0101s pak\u0101peniski pazemin\u0101ties, laika posm\u0101 l\u012bdz 2025.&nbsp;gadam pietuvojoties produktivit\u0101tes pieauguma tempam, un stabiliz\u0113sies 5% l\u012bmen\u012b. Bezdarba l\u012bmenis turpin\u0101s samazin\u0101ties iepriek\u0161 prognoz\u0113taj\u0101 temp\u0101, 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 nosl\u012bdot l\u012bdz 6,9% un 2023.&nbsp;gad\u0101 t\u0101l\u0101k pazeminoties l\u012bdz 6,5%, kam\u0113r tautsaimniec\u012bb\u0101 nodarbin\u0101to iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaits atjaunosies nedaudz l\u0113n\u0101k nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161 prognoz\u0113ts, pand\u0113mijas seku ietekm\u0113 mazinoties iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju iesaistei darba tirg\u016b un nedaudz strauj\u0101k sar\u016bkot ekonomiski akt\u012bvo iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaitam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FM prognozes par ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu tuv\u0101k\u0101 gada laik\u0101 ir nedaudz piesardz\u012bg\u0101kas, ta\u010du kopum\u0101 \u013coti tuvas Eiropas Komisijas (EK) 10.&nbsp;febru\u0101r\u012b publiskotaj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, kas paredz, ka Latvijas IKP 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 palielin\u0101sies par 4,4% un 2023.&nbsp;gad\u0101 \u2013 par 3,8%. Vienlaikus EK 2022.&nbsp;gadam Latvijai prognoz\u0113jusi nedaudz l\u0113n\u0101ku pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu pieaugumu nek\u0101 FM, gada vid\u0113jo infl\u0101ciju paredzot 5,9% apm\u0113r\u0101.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Izstr\u0101d\u0101jot makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes, FM balst\u012bj\u0101s uz konservat\u012bviem pie\u0146\u0113mumiem, k\u0101 ar\u012b izv\u0113rt\u0113ja \u0101r\u0113j\u0101s un iek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s vides riskus, kuriem \u012bstenojoties, ekonomikas izaugsme var izr\u0101d\u012bties strauj\u0101ka vai l\u0113n\u0101ka, nek\u0101 paredz pamata prognoze. Ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes riski pa\u0161laik ir vair\u0101k lejupv\u0113rsti, un negat\u012bvie riski ir saist\u012bti ar \u0123eopolitisko situ\u0101ciju re\u0123ion\u0101, Covid-19 pand\u0113mijas seku p\u0101rvar\u0113\u0161anu, k\u0101 ar\u012b augo\u0161aj\u0101m energoresursu cen\u0101m, kas var negat\u012bv\u0101k ietekm\u0113t kop\u0113jo pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu l\u012bmeni un ierobe\u017eot ekonomikas izaugsmi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Progno\u017eu sagatavo\u0161anas proces\u0101 FM konsult\u0113j\u0101s ar Starptautisk\u0101 Val\u016btas fonda, EK, Latvijas Bankas un Ekonomikas ministrijas ekspertiem. Makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes 2022. gada 11.&nbsp;febru\u0101r\u012b &nbsp;ir apstiprin\u0101jusi Fisk\u0101l\u0101s discipl\u012bnas padome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Visas ES valstis katru gadu apr\u012bl\u012b iesniedz EK Stabilit\u0101tes programmas (eirozonas valstis) vai Konver\u0123ences programmas (eirozon\u0101 neietilpsto\u0161as valstis), kas satur dal\u012bbvalstu bud\u017eeta prognozes turpm\u0101kajiem trim gadiem, k\u0101 ar\u012b preciz\u0113 bud\u017eeta prognozes pa\u0161reiz\u0113jam gadam. Pamatojoties uz \u0161iem dokumentiem, EK v\u0113rt\u0113 valstu publisko finan\u0161u st\u0101vokli un atbilst\u012bbu ES fisk\u0101l\u0101s discipl\u012bnas nosac\u012bjumiem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ar piln\u0101m FM makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognoz\u0113m var iepaz\u012bties\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fm.gov.lv\/lv\/galvenie-makroekonomiskie-raditaji-un-prognozes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">m\u0101jaslap\u0101<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uzs\u0101kot Latvijas Stabilit\u0101tes programmas 2022.-2025.\u00a0gadam sagatavo\u0161anu, Finan\u0161u ministrija (FM) ir izstr\u0101d\u0101jusi makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes laika posmam l\u012bdz 2025.\u00a0gadam. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1938,"featured_media":17077,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17078"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1938"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17078"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17078\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17080,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17078\/revisions\/17080"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17077"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}