{"id":15166,"date":"2021-04-22T07:20:06","date_gmt":"2021-04-22T05:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/?p=15166"},"modified":"2021-04-22T07:20:09","modified_gmt":"2021-04-22T05:20:09","slug":"ekonomiska-izaugsme-straujak-atjaunosies-gada-otraja-puse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/?p=15166","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomisk\u0101 izaugsme strauj\u0101k atjaunosies gada otraj\u0101 pus\u0113"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu v\u0113l l\u012bdz pat 2021.&nbsp;gada vidum turpin\u0101s negat\u012bvi ietekm\u0113t Covid-19 izplat\u012bba<\/strong>, bet p\u0113c tam, atce\u013cot liel\u0101ko da\u013cu ierobe\u017eojumu, <strong>izaugsme strauji s\u0101ks atjaunoties<\/strong> \u2013 to paredz febru\u0101ra s\u0101kum\u0101 izstr\u0101d\u0101t\u0101s <strong>makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes<\/strong>. T\u0101s balst\u0101s uz vald\u012bbas apstiprin\u0101to Covid-19 vakcin\u0101cijas pl\u0101nu, kas paredz, ka l\u012bdz \u0161\u0101 gada vasaras beig\u0101m b\u016bs vakcin\u0113ti 70% Latvijas iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju un atk\u0101rtots slim\u012bbas uzliesmojums 2021.&nbsp;gada ruden\u012b nav sagaid\u0101ms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Covid-19 izplat\u012bbas d\u0113\u013c valdo\u0161\u0101 nenoteikt\u012bba ir galvenais iemesls, k\u0101p\u0113c, sal\u012bdzinot ar 2020.&nbsp;gada j\u016bnij\u0101 izstr\u0101d\u0101taj\u0101m <strong>makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognoz\u0113m<\/strong>, <strong>iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) pieauguma prognoze 2021.&nbsp;gadam ir samazin\u0101ta par 2,1 procentpunktu<\/strong>, jo vasaras s\u0101kum\u0101 izskat\u012bj\u0101s, ka Covid-19 s\u0101cis atk\u0101pties. Pie\u0146emot, ka Covid-19 apkaro\u0161ana b\u016bs veiksm\u012bga, <strong>IKP pieaugums 2022.&nbsp;gadam prognoz\u0113ts par 1,4 procentpunktiem augst\u0101ks nek\u0101 pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada j\u016bnij\u0101<\/strong>. Divos n\u0101kamajos gados ekonomikas izaugsme tiek prognoz\u0113ta tuvu ekonomikas potenci\u0101l\u0101s izaugsmes tempam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ekonomikas izaugsmi 2021.&nbsp;gad\u0101<\/strong> nodro\u0161in\u0101s gan <strong>priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieauguma atjauno\u0161an\u0101s 4% apm\u0113r\u0101<\/strong>, gada otraj\u0101 pus\u0113 <strong>atce\u013cot liel\u0101ko da\u013cu ierobe\u017eojumu<\/strong>, gan <strong>invest\u012bciju pieaugums<\/strong> un <strong>eksporta k\u0101pums attiec\u012bgi par 4,1% un 4,3%<\/strong>, kam\u0113r <strong>sabiedrisk\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieaugums<\/strong> saglab\u0101sies pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada l\u012bmen\u012b un <strong>veidos 2,4%<\/strong>. T\u0101l\u0101ku <strong>ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes pa\u0101trin\u0101\u0161anos 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101<\/strong> nodro\u0161in\u0101s gan <strong>priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a piln\u012bga atjauno\u0161an\u0101s<\/strong>, gan <strong>strauj\u0161 invest\u012bciju k\u0101pums<\/strong>, taj\u0101 skait\u0101 b\u016btiski palielinoties Eiropas Savien\u012bbas fondu invest\u012bcij\u0101m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Paredzams, ka <strong>bezdarba l\u012bmenis<\/strong>, kas ar nelielu nob\u012bdi seko ekonomiskajai aktivit\u0101tei, p\u0113c visai m\u0113ren\u0101 pieauguma 2020.&nbsp;gad\u0101 <strong>\u0161ogad v\u0113l paaugstin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 8,3%<\/strong>. <strong>2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101<\/strong>, augot nodarbin\u0101to iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaitam, <strong>bezdarbs atkal samazin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 7,1%<\/strong> no ekonomiski akt\u012bvajiem iedz\u012bvot\u0101jiem, liecina <strong>Finan\u0161u ministrijas<\/strong> (FM) prognozes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Savuk\u0101rt <strong>infl\u0101cijas dinamika<\/strong> ir noteikt\u0101ka. <strong>Gada vid\u0113jo infl\u0101ciju 2021.&nbsp;gadam FM prognoz\u0113 1,4% l\u012bmen\u012b<\/strong>, tai palielinoties no 0,2% pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 gad\u0101. <strong>Ar\u012b 2022.&nbsp;gad\u0101 infl\u0101cija turpin\u0101s paaugstin\u0101ties<\/strong>, sasniedzot 2,0% un \u0161\u0101d\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b stabiliz\u0113joties vis\u0101 laika period\u0101 l\u012bdz 2024.&nbsp;gadam. Saska\u0146\u0101 ar <strong>Eiropas Komisijas<\/strong> un <strong>Ekonomisk\u0101s sadarb\u012bbas un att\u012bst\u012bbas organiz\u0101cijas<\/strong> jeb OECD prognoz\u0113m <strong>strauj\u0101ku pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu pieaugumu \u0161ogad noteiks pasaules ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes atjauno\u0161an\u0101s<\/strong>, tostarp naftas un p\u0101rtikas cenu pieaugums pasaules tirgos, kam\u0113r iek\u0161\u0113jie faktori \u2013 darba samaksas pieaugums un pat\u0113ri\u0146a atjauno\u0161an\u0101s \u2013 turpin\u0101s noteikt pakalpojumu cenu k\u0101pumu Latvij\u0101.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Izstr\u0101d\u0101jot <strong>makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes<\/strong>, <strong>FM <\/strong>vienm\u0113r balst\u0101s uz konservat\u012bviem pie\u0146\u0113mumiem, izv\u0113rt\u0113jot iesp\u0113jamos ekonomisk\u0101s att\u012bst\u012bbas riskus, konsult\u0113joties ar <strong>Starptautisk\u0101 Val\u016btas fonda<\/strong>, <strong>Eiropas Komisijas, Latvijas Bankas <\/strong>un <strong>Ekonomikas ministrijas<\/strong> ekspertiem, lai nepamatots optimisms negat\u012bvi neietekm\u0113tu valsts finan\u0161u stabilit\u0101ti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tom\u0113r riski past\u0101v joproj\u0101m, un galvenok\u0101rt tie saist\u0101s ar Covid-19 izplat\u012bbu un vakcin\u0101cijas gaitu, taj\u0101 skait\u0101 iesp\u0113jamiem vakc\u012bnu pieg\u0101\u017eu trauc\u0113jumiem, nesak\u0101rtotu lo\u0123istiku un iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju neaktivit\u0101ti, k\u0101 ar\u012b jaun\u0101m v\u012brusa mut\u0101cij\u0101m. T\u0101pat <strong>past\u0101v cenu k\u0101puma riski saist\u012bb\u0101 ar strauju aktivit\u0101tes pieaugumu b\u016bvniec\u012bbas nozar\u0113<\/strong>, k\u0101 ar\u012b <strong>riski saist\u012bb\u0101 ar uz\u0146\u0113mumu v\u0101j\u0101ku atg\u016b\u0161anos p\u0113c Covid-19 ierobe\u017eojumu atcel\u0161anas<\/strong>, taj\u0101 skait\u0101 <strong>iesp\u0113jamiem bankrotiem<\/strong> un <strong>\u0113nu ekonomikas pieaugumu<\/strong>. Tas viss var rad\u012bt novirzes no pamata scen\u0101rija pie\u0146\u0113mumiem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gal\u012bg\u0101s makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes 2021.&nbsp;gada 11.febru\u0101r\u012b apstiprin\u0101ja Fisk\u0101l\u0101s discipl\u012bnas padome.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><b>Ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu v\u0113l l\u012bdz pat 2021. gada vidum turpin\u0101s negat\u012bvi ietekm\u0113t Covid-19 izplat\u012bba<\/b>, bet p\u0113c tam, atce\u013cot liel\u0101ko da\u013cu ierobe\u017eojumu, <b>izaugsme strauji s\u0101ks atjaunoties<\/b> \u2013 to paredz febru\u0101ra s\u0101kum\u0101 izstr\u0101d\u0101t\u0101s makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15166"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15166"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15166\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15168,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15166\/revisions\/15168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}