{"id":14839,"date":"2021-02-17T12:05:15","date_gmt":"2021-02-17T10:05:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/?p=14839"},"modified":"2021-02-17T12:05:18","modified_gmt":"2021-02-17T10:05:18","slug":"finansu-ministrija-2021-gadam-prognoze-ekonomikas-izaugsmi-30-apmera","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/?p=14839","title":{"rendered":"Finan\u0161u ministrija 2021. gadam prognoz\u0113 ekonomikas izaugsmi 3,0% apm\u0113r\u0101"},"content":{"rendered":"

Uzs\u0101kot Latvijas Stabilit\u0101tes programmas 2021.-2024. gadam sagatavo\u0161anu, Finan\u0161u ministrija (FM) ir izstr\u0101d\u0101jusi makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes laika posmam l\u012bdz 2024. gadam.<\/b> Atbilsto\u0161i atjaunotaj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, Latvijas iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) pieaugums 2021. gad\u0101 sasniegs 3,0%, bet 2022. gad\u0101 ekonomikas izaugsme pa\u0101trin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 4,5%.<\/p>\n

Sal\u012bdzinot ar iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101m, 2020. gada j\u016bnij\u0101 izstr\u0101d\u0101taj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, IKP pieauguma prognoze 2021. gadam ir samazin\u0101ta par 2,1 procentpunktu, bet 2022. gadam IKP pieaugums prognoz\u0113ts par 1,4 procentpunktiem augst\u0101ks nek\u0101 pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada j\u016bnij\u0101. Divos n\u0101kamajos gados ekonomikas izaugsme tiek prognoz\u0113ta tuvu ekonomikas potenci\u0101l\u0101s izaugsmes tempam.<\/p>\n

Lai ar\u012b 2020. gad\u0101 ekonomikas kritums 3,5% apm\u0113r\u0101 bija maz\u0101ks nek\u0101 prognoz\u0113ts, Covid-19 atk\u0101rtot\u0101 uzliesmojuma un slim\u012bbas izplat\u012bbas mazin\u0101\u0161anai noteikto ierobe\u017eojumu d\u0113\u013c IKP pieaugums 2021. gad\u0101 b\u016bs zem\u0101ks nek\u0101 prognoz\u0113ts pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada j\u016bnij\u0101. Atjaunotaj\u0101s prognoz\u0113s pie\u0146emts, ka ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu v\u0113l l\u012bdz pat 2021. gada vidum turpin\u0101s negat\u012bvi ietekm\u0113t Covid-19 izplat\u012bba, bet p\u0113c tam, atce\u013cot liel\u0101ko da\u013cu ierobe\u017eojumu, izaugsme strauji s\u0101ks atjaunoties. Prognoze balst\u0101s uz Covid-19 vakcin\u0101cijas pl\u0101nu, kas paredz, ka l\u012bdz \u0161\u0101 gada vasaras beig\u0101m b\u016bs vakcin\u0113ti 70% Latvijas iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju, l\u012bdz ar to atk\u0101rtots slim\u012bbas uzliesmojums 2021. gada ruden\u012b nav sagaid\u0101ms.<\/p>\n

Ekonomikas izaugsmi 2021. gad\u0101 nodro\u0161in\u0101s gan priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieauguma atjauno\u0161an\u0101s 4% apm\u0113r\u0101, gan invest\u012bciju pieaugums un eksporta k\u0101pums attiec\u012bgi par 4,1% un 4,3%,<\/b> kam\u0113r sabiedrisk\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieaugums saglab\u0101sies pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada l\u012bmen\u012b un veidos 2,4%. T\u0101l\u0101ku ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes pa\u0101trin\u0101\u0161anos 2022. gad\u0101 nodro\u0161in\u0101s gan priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a piln\u012bga atjauno\u0161an\u0101s, gan strauj\u0161 invest\u012bciju k\u0101pums, taj\u0101 skait\u0101 b\u016btiski palielinoties Eiropas Savien\u012bbas (ES) fondu invest\u012bcij\u0101m.<\/p>\n

FM prognozes par ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu tuv\u0101ko divu gadu laik\u0101 kopum\u0101 ir tuvas Eiropas Komisijas (EK) 11. febru\u0101r\u012b publiskotaj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, kas paredz, ka Latvijas IKP 2021. gad\u0101 palielin\u0101sies par 3,5% un 2022. gad\u0101 \u2013 par 3,1%. Progno\u017eu at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bbas pa gadiem pamat\u0101 saist\u012btas ar nedaudz at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bgu skat\u012bjumu, cik strauj\u0161 b\u016bs ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes kritums \u0161\u0101 gada pirmaj\u0101 ceturksn\u012b, k\u0101 ar\u012b to, ka EK sav\u0101s 2022. gada prognoz\u0113s v\u0113l nav iek\u013c\u0101vusi Eiropas Atvese\u013co\u0161anas un notur\u012bbas meh\u0101nisma ietekmi.<\/p>\n

Gada vid\u0113jo infl\u0101ciju 2021. gadam FM prognoz\u0113 1,4% l\u012bmen\u012b<\/b>, tai palielinoties no 0,2% pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 gad\u0101. Ar\u012b 2022. gad\u0101 infl\u0101cija turpin\u0101s paaugstin\u0101ties, sasniedzot 2,0% un \u0161\u0101d\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b stabiliz\u0113joties vis\u0101 laika period\u0101 l\u012bdz 2024. gadam. Strauj\u0101ku pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu pieaugumu \u0161ogad noteiks pasaules ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes atjauno\u0161an\u0101s, tostarp veicinot naftas un p\u0101rtikas cenu pieaugumu pasaules tirgos, kam\u0113r iek\u0161\u0113jie faktori \u2013 darba samaksas pieaugums un pat\u0113ri\u0146a atjauno\u0161an\u0101s \u2013 turpin\u0101s noteikt pakalpojumu cenu k\u0101pumu Latvij\u0101.<\/p>\n

M\u0113ne\u0161a vid\u0113j\u0101s darba samaksas pieaugums 2021. gad\u0101 prognoz\u0113ts 4,0% l\u012bmen\u012b, 2022. gad\u0101 tam pa\u0101trinoties l\u012bdz 5,0% un \u0161\u0101d\u0101 produktivit\u0101tes pieaugumam tuv\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b stabiliz\u0113joties vis\u0101 laika posm\u0101 l\u012bdz 2024. gadam.<\/b> Bezdarba l\u012bmenis, p\u0113c visai m\u0113ren\u0101 pieauguma 2020. gad\u0101, \u0161ogad v\u0113l nedaudz paaugstin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 8,3%, ekonomikas kr\u012bzei darba tirg\u016b atspogu\u013cojoties ar nelielu nob\u012bdi. Savuk\u0101rt 2022. gad\u0101, augot nodarbin\u0101to iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaitam, bezdarbs, p\u0113c FM prognoz\u0113m, atkal samazin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 7,1% no ekonomiski akt\u012bvajiem iedz\u012bvot\u0101jiem.<\/p>\n

Izstr\u0101d\u0101jot makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes, FM balst\u012bj\u0101s uz konservat\u012bviem pie\u0146\u0113mumiem, k\u0101 ar\u012b izv\u0113rt\u0113ja \u0101r\u0113j\u0101s un iek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s vides riskus, kuriem \u012bstenojoties, ekonomikas izaugsme var izr\u0101d\u012bties strauj\u0101ka vai l\u0113n\u0101ka, nek\u0101 paredz pamata prognoze. Negat\u012bvie riski pa\u0161laik saist\u0101s galvenok\u0101rt ar Covid-19 izplat\u012bbu un vakcin\u0101cijas gaitu, taj\u0101 skait\u0101 iesp\u0113jamiem vakc\u012bnu pieg\u0101\u017eu trauc\u0113jumiem, nesak\u0101rtotu lo\u0123istiku, k\u0101 ar\u012b jaun\u0101m v\u012brusa mut\u0101cij\u0101m. T\u0101pat past\u0101v cenu k\u0101puma riski saist\u012bb\u0101 ar strauju aktivit\u0101tes pieaugumu b\u016bvniec\u012bbas nozar\u0113, k\u0101 ar\u012b riski saist\u012bb\u0101 ar uz\u0146\u0113mumu v\u0101j\u0101ku atg\u016b\u0161anos p\u0113c Covid-19 ierobe\u017eojumu atcel\u0161anas, taj\u0101 skait\u0101 iesp\u0113jamiem bankrotiem un \u0113nu ekonomikas pieaugumu.<\/p>\n

Izstr\u0101d\u0101jot makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes, FM konsult\u0113j\u0101s ar Starptautisk\u0101 Val\u016btas fonda, Eiropas Komisijas, Latvijas Bankas un Ekonomikas ministrijas ekspertiem. Makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes 2021. gada 11. febru\u0101r\u012b apstiprin\u0101ja Fisk\u0101l\u0101s discipl\u012bnas padome.<\/p>\n

Ar piln\u0101m FM makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognoz\u0113m var iepaz\u012bties m\u0101jaslap\u0101.<\/a><\/p>\n

Visas ES valstis katru gadu apr\u012bl\u012b iesniedz Eiropas Komisijai Stabilit\u0101tes programmas (eirozonas valstis) vai Konver\u0123ences programmas (eirozon\u0101 neietilpsto\u0161as valstis), kas satur dal\u012bbvalstu bud\u017eeta prognozes turpm\u0101kajiem trim gadiem, k\u0101 ar\u012b preciz\u0113 bud\u017eeta prognozes pa\u0161reiz\u0113jam gadam. Balstoties uz \u0161iem dokumentiem, EK v\u0113rt\u0113 valstu publisko finan\u0161u st\u0101vokli un atbilst\u012bbu ES fisk\u0101l\u0101s discipl\u012bnas nosac\u012bjumiem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uzs\u0101kot Latvijas Stabilit\u0101tes programmas 2021.-2024. gadam sagatavo\u0161anu, Finan\u0161u ministrija (FM) ir izstr\u0101d\u0101jusi makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognozes laika posmam l\u012bdz 2024. gadam.<\/b> Atbilsto\u0161i atjaunotaj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, Latvijas iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) pieaugums 2021. gad\u0101 sasniegs 3,0%, bet 2022. gad\u0101 ekonomikas izaugsme pa\u0101trin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 4,5%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,29,71,47,48],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14839"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14839"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14839\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14840,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14839\/revisions\/14840"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zurnalsiepirkumi.lv\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}